(Fishing directory) Sports Gambling Instruction On The Giant NCAA Football Pointspread
No commentsBy Rich Allen
We’ve all seen them, those extremely large college football pointspreads. Perhaps USC is favored by 36 over some joke of a team. Or Florida is favored by 29 over Florida A&M. These games jump off the page right away just for the sheer size of the spread.
And yeah they almost make you cackle because they’re such a joke, but what about actually betting on these games where spreads can sometimes attain 40 points or more? Should you try to get down on a game with a spread this large?
The short reply is no, but there are a number of reasons why. First of all, when you’re talking about spreads of this size that means you’re also talking about some Truly awful teams. And we’ve all been there, but nobody likes to have to root in a poor team. One more sack allowed, an added turnover, another missed tackle, it’s like the movie ‘Groundhog Day,’ error after blunder.
One more trouble is there’s no real model to track. How can you conclude if the team getting pounded will keep on working, playing solid to the final gun goes off, and trying to get that score that makes the number?
Now with the BCS involved, a few schools will show no mercy since they’re trying to obtain those all- mighty points in the polls. You would believe that would increase even more later on in the season, right? Well even that speculation isn’t a lock based on former performances.
And that’s my ending and perhaps most main point. The statistical proof doesn’t validate taking either side in these lopsided games. Looking at the data we could only locate one occasion where teams covered with a winning percentage over 53%.
With a break-even point of 52.7%, that’s hardly sufficient to motivate confidence.
My opinion: stay away from the Giant NCAA Pointspread!
All the best,
Rich Allen - aka Sports Betting Professor
My name is Rich Allen, owner of the Sports Betting Professor website http://www.sportsbettingprofessor.com 2 years ago we hired an actual PhD Statistician to develop a quantitative system to win constantly betting on American Football, NBA Basketball, College Football and Major League Baseball. Our results have been stellar. Hear evidence from my victorious partners by visiting the website or go directly to my video at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QpJxbt1D5h0 .
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Sunday, September 27th, 2009 at 10:38 pm and is filed under sports. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
